Nation Divided
By Aaron Hurst on May 12, 2008 3:38 PM
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I recently finished Richard
Florida's new book - "Who's Your City?".
He describes demographic trends that are concentrating the majority of creative
class and knowledge workers in a very small number of mega regions that are all
on the coasts (Boston - DC corridor, San
Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles and Seattle). He predicts
that these mega regions are magnets for talent and the rest of country will
continue to drain talent to these areas. This has paradigm shifting
implications for philanthropy and pro bono service.
We are now accustomed to having
economic diversification within regions. Cities have wealthy, middle class and
poor neighborhoods. There can be a self-contained philanthropic ecosystem
(money, knowledge workers and need).
This will always be the case to some
degree as there is a need for a local service labor force. That said, if his
predictions are accurate the ecosystem will be turned on its head. Wealth and
knowledge will be concentrated in these regions with much smaller local
community need. Other parts of the country will find a large concentration of
need and little wealth or knowledge worker base to meet it. For those in the
mega regions, quality of life will continue to rise and for the rest it will
continue fall.
Based on what I read and have
experienced, this prediction seems likely.
The most likely reason this tide
would reverse would be that the mega regions become so wealthy that artists and
other key parts of the desired culture of a creative class mega region are
turned off by the homogeneity and cost of living. They start to resettle in
Alabama, Oklahoma and Arizona where it is more "authentic" and
affordable. The challenge, as Florida points out, is that these other
regions have distinct personalities that are not based on open mindedness but
rather status quo and authority. It would take a large infusion of pioneering
creative class professionals to turn the culture in these regions to make them
hospitable. It is hard to change the personality of a place as it requires
changing the personality of a lot of people.
If we accept that this shift will
continue and America will become divided, we then
need to determine how to build the infrastructure to support this bi-furcated
nation. This will likely be much like the current effort to lobby wealthy
Americans to direct some of their philanthropy overseas. To many in New York and San Francisco,
a nonprofit in Alabama may be as foreign as one
in India. Many of the most successful
international fundraising efforts are centered on philanthropic tourism and
education via the media (e.g. Room to Read). This may be the same in our new
divided American reality. We will need to convince a graphic designer to do a
new logo for a nonprofit in North
Dakota. This is no easy
task.
Speaking as someone who likes to live in urban areas, it troubles me that the nonprofits I may want to work for will be located elsewhere. It'd be even more difficult to move to a non-urban region if my peer group makes a similar decision...
I wonder if the knowledge worker map will look something like this (it's a county-by-county election map):
http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/countymaplinearlarge.png